10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate
2d
6m
ahead
Predictive Factors
10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security, Constant Maturity
Eli Lilly and Company
U.S. Bancorp
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. Common Stock
Upstart Holdings, Inc.
as of
Our Probabilistic Prediction
Once the causally predictive features are selected, a group of models is trained, which mainly differ in the randomness at the training start. If each model then makes prediction about the direction of future movement, over the group of models, with respect to the Fri 22 Sep value 4.44, the predictions are
|
% Up |
% Down |
% Undecided |
| Mon 25 Sep |
80% |
20% |
0% |
| Tue 26 Sep |
80% |
20% |
0% |