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10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate

2d 6m ahead

Predictive Factors

10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security, Constant Maturity

Eli Lilly and Company

U.S. Bancorp

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. Common Stock

Upstart Holdings, Inc.

as of

Our Probabilistic Prediction

2023-09-25T10:13:21.256345 image/svg+xml Matplotlib v3.5.3,

Once the causally predictive features are selected, a group of models is trained, which mainly differ in the randomness at the training start. If each model then makes prediction about the direction of future movement, over the group of models, with respect to the Fri 22 Sep value 4.44, the predictions are

% Up % Down % Un­de­cided
Mon 25 Sep 80% 20% 0%
Tue 26 Sep 80% 20% 0%