2d
6m
ahead
SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Predictive Factors
The models identify what we call the top predictive factors: a small set of assets judged to be the most important driving forces behind your selected item's forecast. These are what we believe are pushing the search target(s).
SPDR S&P Midcap 400 ETF Trust
China / U.S. Foreign Exchange Rate USDCNY
as of
Our Probabilistic Prediction
With the predictive features above, we run many models repeatedly and aggregate them to account for randomness introduced at the training start.
Which direction do the bulk of the models think movement will shift towards? With each model casting a vote on the likely change with respect to a value of 456.6 on the Tue 05 Dec, expected future positions are
|
% Up |
% Down |
% Undecided |
| coming day |
75% |
7% |
17% |
| the day in 1 months |
78% |
7% |
15% |
| the day in 2 months |
83% |
3% |
15% |
| the day in 3 months |
83% |
2% |
15% |